>Users:   login   |  register       > email     > people    


The Dangerous Nature Of Firearm Offenders
By Leonard A. Sipes, Jr.
Published: 07/22/2019

Violence gun There is endless controversy regarding the prediction of future criminality, The Marshall Project. Age of the offender, age of criminal onset and criminal history seems to be the most powerful predictors. Maybe it’s time to add firearm-related crimes to that category.

Per the US Sentencing Commission (below), firearm offenders recidivate more, recidivate quickly, and do so much later in life.

Acquiring or using a firearm seems to be associated with a dedicated criminal lifestyle. There are endless stories of offenders finding it easy to get guns in their neighborhoods or through associates, but many choose not to carry. For example, most robberies do not involve firearms; thirty-one percent in a survey stated that they used a firearm during a robbery, Bureau of Justice Statistics, but other federal sources put the figure at 41 percent, National Institute of Justice.

Offenders understand that when they carry a firearm, they are telling all that crime and violence is not situational. They are declaring their willingness to create massive injury and possibly death.

There are basically two types of offenders, those who leave their home without an intent to commit a crime (but take advantage of opportunities as they appear), and those who leave their home fully intending to engage in violence or other forms of criminality. They may invoke self-protection as justification, but as every off duty cop knows, the world changes when you carry.

The Crime Report–St. Louis (direct quotes, rearranged for brevity)

Violent crime has become more deadly in St. Louis over the past decade, finds a new study. Criminologist Janet Lauritsen and doctoral candidate Theodore Lentz of the University of Missouri-St. Louis analyzed years of police data and found the number of homicides per robbery or assault has risen by more than 50 percent over the past eight years, from 23 homicides per 1,000 incidents to 36, reports the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

The prevalence of gun use in St. Louis is a likely factor. One possibility, Lauritsen said, is that shooters are firing more bullets, or bullets of a higher caliber. It’s also possible that shooters are more interested in killing their targets now. “Whatever is driving the use of guns is likely to have more lethal consequences,” she said.

The study found 94 percent of homicides in St. Louis involved a gun from 2015 to 2016, up from 78 percent in 2004. Similarly, more than 60 percent of assaults and robberies involved a gun from 2015 to 2016, compared with 43 percent in 2004, The Crime Report.

This data is much higher than other sources. About 29% of state and 36% of federal prisoners serving time for a violent offense said they possessed or carried a firearm during the offense.

Violent offenders were much more likely to have possessed a firearm during the offense than property (5% state, 3% federal) or drug (8% state, 12% federal) offenders, Criminals and Guns.

Conclusion

Like St. Louis, I suspect that the explosions of violence in Baltimore, Chicago and dozens of additional cities are predicated on a new willingness to acquire and use firearms.

“It used to be long ago, 30 years ago, no one carried a gun unless they were a shop owner or they had a reason,” said St. Louis Mayor Lyda Krewson.

Those days seem to be over. Yes, the majority of offenders do not carry firearms because they understand that it crosses a line not just for the justice system, but also within the criminal community.

I’ve interviewed drug dealers who made it clear to all that they do not carry and if they get threatened by others with guns, they simply see it as a price of doing business. But they are not willing to die or be paralyzed or go to prison for decades for a drug transaction.

Offenders carrying a firearm (overwhelmingly handguns) is a deliberate decision and a declared dedication to criminality. Based on data, incapacitation through prison seems justified for anyone carrying a gun during an act of violence or other forms of criminality.

US Sentencing Commission (direct quotes rearranged for brevity)

The US Sentencing Commission examined the recidivism rates of firearms offenders compared to non-firearms offenders.

Firearms offenders generally recidivated at a higher rate, more quickly, and for more serious crimes than non-firearms offenders.

Criminal history is strongly associated with recidivism among both firearms offenders and non-firearms offenders. However, firearms offenders have higher recidivism rates than non-firearms offenders in every category.

Firearms offenders generally recidivated at a higher rate, recidivated more quickly following release into the community, and continued to recidivate later in life than non-firearms offenders. The key findings of the Commission’s study of recidivism among firearms offenders are:

The 3,446 firearms offenders analyzed in this report represent 13.8 percent of the 25,000 offenders in this study who were released in calendar year 2005.

Firearms offenders recidivated at a higher rate than non-firearms offenders. Over two-thirds (68.1%) of firearms offenders were rearrested for a new crime during the eight-year follow-up period compared to less than half of non-firearms offenders (46.3%).

Firearms offenders recidivated more quickly than non-firearms offenders. Of the firearms offenders who recidivated, the median time from release to the first recidivism event was 17 months. Comparatively, the median time from release to the first recidivism event for non-firearms offenders was 22 months.

A greater percentage of firearms offenders were rearrested for serious crimes than non-firearms offenders. Of the firearms offenders who recidivated, assault was the most serious new charge for 29.0 percent, followed by drug trafficking (13.5%) and public order crimes (12.6%).

Of the non-firearms offenders who recidivated, assault was the most common new charge for 21.9 percent, followed by public order crimes (19.4%) and drug trafficking (11.1%).

Firearms offenders have higher recidivism rates than non-firearms offenders in every Criminal History Category. The difference in recidivism rates between firearms and non-firearms offenders is most pronounced in Criminal History Category I, the lowest Criminal History Category, where firearms offenders recidivated at a rate approximately 12 percentage points higher than non-firearms offenders (45.0% compared to 33.2%).

Firearms offenders recidivated at a higher rate than non-firearms offenders in every age group at the time of release from custody. Firearms offenders recidivated at nearly twice the rate of nonfirearms offenders among those released after age 50 (39.3% compared to 20.6%).

Sources

US Sentencing Commission

Bureau of Justice Statistics

Reprinted with permission from https://www.crimeinamerica.net.

Contact us at crimeinamerica@gmail.com or for media on deadline, use leonardsipes@gmail.com.

Leonard A. Sipes, Jr has thirty-five years of experience supervising public affairs for national and state criminal justice agencies. He is the Former Senior Specialist for Crime Prevention for the Department of Justice’s clearinghouse and the Former Director of Information Management for the National Crime Prevention Council. He has a Post Master’s degree from Johns Hopkins University and is the author of the book "Success With the Media". He can be reached via email at leonardsipes@gmail.com.


Comments:

  1. Maryam Khatri on 02/25/2020:

    I definitely enjoying every little bit of it. It is a great website and nice share. I want to thank you. Good job! You guys do a great blog, and have some great contents. Keep up the good work. singapore quick loan approval

  2. Maryam Khatri on 02/25/2020:

    This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I love seeing blog that understand the value of providing a quality resource for free. fpga for mining

  3. Maryam Khatri on 02/18/2020:

    Your post is very helpful to get some effective tips to reduce weight properly. You have shared various nice photos of the same. I would like to thank you for sharing these tips. Surely I will try this at home. Keep updating more simple tips like this. แทงหวย

  4. Maryam Khatri on 02/18/2020:

    Great job for publishing such a beneficial web site. Your web log isn’t only useful but it is additionally really creative too. There tend to be not many people who can certainly write not so simple posts that artistically. Continue the nice writing heavy towing near me

  5. Maryam Khatri on 02/17/2020:

    I was surfing net and fortunately came across this site and found very interesting stuff here. Its really fun to read. I enjoyed a lot. Thanks for sharing this wonderful information. Groovepad for pc

  6. Maryam Khatri on 02/16/2020:

    Whoi, excellent, t wondered just how to cure icne. ind found your webstte by google, dtscovered todiy t'm i ltttle obvtous i greit deil. t’ve ilso idded RSS ind sive your webstte. keep us updited. ems training

  7. Maryam Khatri on 02/15/2020:

    You've completed in excellent work. t suggest to my frtends ind personilly wtll certitnly dtgtt. t'm conftdent they'll be gitned from thts webstte. maldives holiday package singapore

  8. Maryam Khatri on 02/10/2020:

    Most of the time I don’t make comments on websites, but I'd like to say that this article really forced me to do so. Really nice post! how to improve my motivation

  9. Maryam Khatri on 02/08/2020:

    Regular visits listed here are the easiest method to appreciate your energy, which is why why I am going to the website everyday, searching for new, interesting info. Many, thank you  india visa for austrian citizens

  10. Maryam Khatri on 02/08/2020:

    This is extremely fascinating substance! I have completely delighted in perusing your focuses and have reached the conclusion that you are right about a hefty portion of them. You are extraordinary.  horse

  11. Maryam Khatri on 02/07/2020:

    Just pure classic stuff from you here. I have never seen such a brilliantly written article in a long time. I am thankful to you that you produced this! stryv performance

  12. Maryam Khatri on 02/06/2020:

    I was impressed with the site that you created, so memotipasi many people to be more advanced, there also kunjugi me, as a comparison https://stunningjourney.com

  13. Maryam Khatri on 02/06/2020:

    Regular visits listed here are the easiest method to appreciate your energy, which is why why I am going to the website everyday, searching for new, interesting info. Many, thank you  can i schedule posts on instagram

  14. Maryam Khatri on 02/05/2020:

    You've completed in excellent work. t suggest to my frtends ind personilly wtll certitnly dtgtt. t'm conftdent they'll be gitned from thts webstte. Illinois Business Directory

  15. keatonjefferson on 02/05/2020:

    this is pleasant in addition to meanful. this is trendy blog site. Backlinking can be quite practical matter. you could have definitely served most people exactly who stop by blog site and gives these individuals usefull facts. best CBD oil for anxiety

  16. tonnyken on 09/26/2019:

    Thanks for sharing the information it was very helpful for me basketball legends

  17. turricula on 08/28/2019:

    w

  18. cathy on 08/28/2019:

    Accidentally I have come across this site and little bit confused about the subject shared here. Here MS Contin addiction it tells details regarding the dangerous nature of firearm offenders. It very well here. Thank you so much for the updates and expecting more from here.

  19. AngelKate on 08/27/2019:

    Excellent article on firearm offenders! This is probably true! Thanks for posting this. Kate - Tree Services Alexandria VA

  20. 카지노사이트 on 08/07/2019:

    카지노사이트 Positive webpage, where did u think of the data on this posting?I have perused a couple of the articles on your site now, and I truly like your style. Much obliged and please keep up the powerful work.

  21. happywheelsbest.com on 08/07/2019:

    Thank you for sharing in this article I can learn a lot and could also be a reference I hope to read the next your article update happy wheels

  22. annajohnsn on 08/06/2019:

    This is a good site for the latest news. It almost covers all the topics Wrongful Death Lawyer and discussions are done regarding legal affairs. I like this article by Leonard. The contents are so worthy of our time. I appreciate his efforts in providing this. Keep it up.

  23. casseverhart13 on 08/06/2019:

    Thanks! works great. click here

  24. alvinrr on 07/29/2019:

    Gun control is the solution here. trickster pitch


Login to let us know what you think

User Name:   

Password:       


Forgot password?





correctsource logo




Use of this web site constitutes acceptance of The Corrections Connection User Agreement
The Corrections Connection ©. Copyright 1996 - 2020 © . All Rights Reserved | 15 Mill Wharf Plaza Scituate Mass. 02066 (617) 471 4445 Fax: (617) 608 9015